Grains
Rice paddy in Nigeria: prices and market analysis
Unmilled rice sold to mills; grown in wet-season lowlands and irrigated dry-season schemes.
Prices updated 5 November 2026
- Average price
- ₦628,000 / tonne
- 4-week change
- +0.7%
- Cheapest market
- Kebbi · ₦579,000
- Dearest market
- FCT · ₦678,000
- Season now
- Harvest
- On Agromate
- 23 t offered · 0 kg wanted
Rice paddy, month by month
Colour: crop stage. Blue line: typical rainfall for Kebbi (1991–2020).
Nov · stage
Harvest
Harvest and drying. Losses are highest now if crops get wet or are left too long.
- Typical rain
- 1 mm
- Mean temperature
- 25.5°C
Losses to watch
About 12% of rice paddy is lost after harvest in Nigeria on average (APHLIS). Dry to about 14% moisture. Mills pay less for paddy with stones, chaff or mixed varieties.
Threats in Nov
Past crises and how they were fought
2022 · Floods in Kebbi, Jigawa, Niger and the Benue valley destroyed rice fields before harvest.
Response: Early harvest where possible; dry-season replanting with relief inputs.
Price by state
Weekly price per tonne in the main producing states. Pilot estimate, replace with NBS / field data.
- Kebbi
- Niger
- Kano
- Benue
Show as table
| Week | Kebbi | Niger | Kano | Benue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | ₦623k | ₦632k | ₦638k | ₦650k |
| 27 Aug | ₦611k | ₦639k | ₦652k | ₦662k |
| 3 Sept | ₦629k | ₦631k | ₦647k | ₦655k |
| 10 Sept | ₦621k | ₦640k | ₦655k | ₦650k |
| 17 Sept | ₦625k | ₦625k | ₦641k | ₦658k |
| 24 Sept | ₦628k | ₦634k | ₦646k | ₦660k |
| 1 Oct | ₦574k | ₦589k | ₦606k | ₦624k |
| 8 Oct | ₦589k | ₦591k | ₦602k | ₦619k |
| 15 Oct | ₦573k | ₦588k | ₦605k | ₦630k |
| 22 Oct | ₦577k | ₦587k | ₦615k | ₦623k |
| 29 Oct | ₦586k | ₦588k | ₦601k | ₦622k |
| 5 Nov | ₦579k | ₦603k | ₦616k | ₦613k |
Price gap: 17%. Rice paddy costs ₦579,000 a tonne in Kebbi and ₦678,000 in FCT. Buyers can save by sourcing from Kebbi; check the truck cost first.
| State | Latest / tonne | vs average |
|---|---|---|
| Kebbi | ₦579,000 | −7.8% |
| Niger | ₦603,000 | −4.0% |
| Benue | ₦613,000 | −2.4% |
| Kano | ₦616,000 | −1.9% |
| Ebonyi | ₦633,000 | +0.8% |
| Lagosconsumer market | ₦674,000 | +7.3% |
| FCTconsumer market | ₦678,000 | +8.0% |
Season and harvest outlook
Harvest is under way in the main producing states. Supply is rising, which usually pulls prices down.
- Janplanting
- Febgrowing
- Margrowing
- Aprharvest
- Mayharvest
- Junplanting
- Julplanting
- Auggrowing
- Sepgrowing
- Octharvest
- Novharvest
- Decharvest
Typical calendar and main producing states from public agronomy references; varies by zone and year.
Weather risk in producing states
Next 7 days, read against this month's crop stage. Live from Open-Meteo.
Kebbi
Heat0 mm · 0 wet days · up to 39°C
Very hot days ahead. Move perishables early in the day and keep them shaded or cool.
Niger
Good drying0 mm · 0 wet days · up to 36°C
Dry week ahead: good conditions to harvest and dry produce.
Kano
Good drying0 mm · 0 wet days · up to 36°C
Dry week ahead: good conditions to harvest and dry produce.
Benue
Good drying0 mm · 0 wet days · up to 35°C
Dry week ahead: good conditions to harvest and dry produce.
Ebonyi
Good drying4 mm · 0 wet days · up to 33°C
Dry week ahead: good conditions to harvest and dry produce.
Kaduna
Good drying0 mm · 0 wet days · up to 35°C
Dry week ahead: good conditions to harvest and dry produce.
Crop reference
Main producing states
Kebbi, Niger, Kano, Benue, Ebonyi, Kaduna, Taraba, Jigawa
Varieties traded
FARO 44, FARO 66, FARO 67
What buyers grade on
- Moisture content
- Purity of variety
- Empty and immature grains
- Stones and chaff
Storage and handling
Dry to about 14% moisture. Mills pay less for paddy with stones, chaff or mixed varieties.
Risks
| Flooding | High | River flooding in the wet season can wipe out lowland fields. |
|---|---|---|
| Quelea birds | Medium | Flocks eat ripening grain in the north. |
| Import policy | Medium | Changes to rice import rules move local paddy prices quickly. |
Typical calendar and main producing states from public agronomy references; varies by zone and year.
